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11

HICSS
2005
IEEE

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Branching Process Models for the Exponentially Increasing Portions of Cascading Failure Blackouts

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Branching Process Models for the Exponentially Increasing Portions of Cascading Failure Blackouts

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We introduce branching process models in discrete and continuous time for the exponentially increasing phase of cascading blackouts. Cumulative line trips from real blackout data have portions consistent with these branching process models. Some initial calculations identifying parameters and using a branching process model to estimate blackout probabilities are illustrated.

Ian Dobson, Benjamin A. Carreras, David E. Newman

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Biometrics | Branching Process Model | Exponentially Increasing | HICSS 2005 | Real Blackout Data | System Sciences |

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Added	24 Jun 2010
Updated	24 Jun 2010
Type	Conference
Year	2005
Where	HICSS
Authors	Ian Dobson, Benjamin A. Carreras, David E. Newman

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