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ICNC
2010
Springer

A hybrid intelligent early warning system for predicting economic crises: The case of China

10 years 12 months ago
A hybrid intelligent early warning system for predicting economic crises: The case of China
—This paper combines artificial neural networks (ANN), fuzzy optimization and time-series econometric models in one unified framework to form a hybrid intelligent early warning system (EWS) for predicting economic crises. Using quarterly data on 12 macroeconomic and financial variables for the Chinese economy during 1999 and 2008, the paper finds that the hybrid model possesses strong predictive power and the likelihood of economic crises in China during 2009 and 2010 remains high.
Dongwei Su, Xingxing He
Added 26 Jan 2011
Updated 26 Jan 2011
Type Journal
Year 2010
Where ICNC
Authors Dongwei Su, Xingxing He
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