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Incentive-based modeling and inference of attacker intent, objectives, and strategies

9 years 11 months ago
Incentive-based modeling and inference of attacker intent, objectives, and strategies
Although the ability to model and infer Attacker Intent, Objectives and Strategies (AIOS) may dramatically advance the literature of risk assessment, harm prediction, and predictive or proactive cyber defense, existing AIOS inference techniques are ad hoc and system or application specific. In this paper, we present a general incentive-based method to model AIOS and a game theoretic approach to infer AIOS. On one hand, we found that the concept of incentives can unify a large variety of attacker intents; the concept of utilities can integrate incentives and costs in such a way that attacker objectives can be practically modeled. On the other hand, we developed a game theoretic AIOS formalization which can capture the inherent inter-dependency between AIOS and defender objectives and strategies in such a way that AIOS can be automatically inferred. Finally, we use a specific case study to show how AIOS can be inferred in real world attack-defense scenarios. Categories and Subject Des...
Peng Liu, Wanyu Zang
Added 06 Jul 2010
Updated 06 Jul 2010
Type Conference
Year 2003
Where CCS
Authors Peng Liu, Wanyu Zang
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