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VALUETOOLS
2006
ACM
13 years 10 months ago
Splitting with weight windows to control the likelihood ratio in importance sampling
Importance sampling (IS) is the most widely used efficiency improvement method for rare-event simulation. When estimating the probability of a rare event, the IS estimator is the ...
Pierre L'Ecuyer, Bruno Tuffin
WSC
2008
13 years 7 months ago
A preliminary study of optimal splitting for rare-event simulation
Efficiency is a big concern when using simulation to estimate rare-event probabilities, since a huge number of simulation replications may be needed in order to obtain a reasonabl...
John F. Shortle, Chun-Hung Chen
EOR
2010
125views more  EOR 2010»
13 years 4 months ago
Efficient estimation of large portfolio loss probabilities in t-copula models
We consider the problem of accurately measuring the credit risk of a portfolio consisting of loans, bonds and other financial assets. One particular performance measure of interes...
Joshua C. C. Chan, Dirk P. Kroese
WSC
1998
13 years 6 months ago
A Comparison of RESTART Implementations
The RESTART method is a widely applicable simulation technique for the estimation of rare event probabilities. The method is based on the idea to restart the simulation in certain...
Marnix J. J. Garvels, Dirk P. Kroese
WSC
2007
13 years 7 months ago
Ant-based approach for determining the change of measure in importance sampling
Importance Sampling is a potentially powerful variance reduction technique to speed up simulations where the objective depends on the occurrence of rare events. However, it is cru...
Poul E. Heegaard, Werner Sandmann