13 search results - page 1 / 3 » Aggregation and manipulation in prediction markets: effects ... |
SIGECOM
2010
ACM
13 years 3 months ago
2010
ACM
We conduct laboratory experiments on variants of market scoring rule prediction markets, under different information distribution patterns, in order to evaluate the efficiency an...
AAAI
2011
12 years 4 months ago
2011
Much evidence has shown that prediction markets, when used in isolation, can effectively aggregate dispersed information about uncertain future events and produce remarkably accur...
SIGECOM
2004
ACM
13 years 10 months ago
2004
ACM
I develop a new mechanism for risk allocation and information speculation called a dynamic pari-mutuel market (DPM). A DPM acts as hybrid between a pari-mutuel market and a contin...
SIGECOM
2010
ACM
13 years 9 months ago
2010
ACM
We designed and built the Gates Hillman Prediction Market (GHPM) to predict the opening day of the Gates and Hillman Centers, the new computer science buildings at Carnegie Mellon...
SIGECOM
2009
ACM
13 years 11 months ago
2009
ACM
There is significant experimental evidence that prediction markets are efficient mechanisms for aggregating information and are more accurate in forecasting events than tradition...