In a seminal paper in 1973, Black and Scholes argued how expected distributions of stock prices can be used to price options. Their model assumed a directed random motion for the ...
— With the principal goal of developing an alternative, relatively simple and tractable pricing framework for accurately reproducing a market implied volatility surface, this pap...
There is significant experimental evidence that prediction markets are efficient mechanisms for aggregating information and are more accurate in forecasting events than tradition...
In this note, we show that simple models that explicitly accounts for the market participants’ fear that the stock prices will plunge, is capable of explaining the implied volat...
The European call option prices have well-known formulae in the Cox-RossRubinstein model [2], depending on the volatility of the underlying asset. Nevertheless it is hard to give ...