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» Decision rules and decision markets
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ATAL
2010
Springer
13 years 5 months ago
Decision rules and decision markets
We explore settings where a principal must make a decision about which action to take to achieve a desired outcome. The principal elicits the probability of achieving the outcome ...
Abraham Othman, Tuomas Sandholm
ATAL
2011
Springer
12 years 4 months ago
Information elicitation for decision making
Proper scoring rules, particularly when used as the basis for a prediction market, are powerful tools for eliciting and aggregating beliefs about events such as the likely outcome...
Yiling Chen, Ian A. Kash
CORR
2011
Springer
136views Education» more  CORR 2011»
12 years 8 months ago
Eliciting Forecasts from Self-interested Experts: Scoring Rules for Decision Makers
Scoring rules for eliciting expert predictions of random variables are usually developed assuming that experts derive utility only from the quality of their predictions (e.g., sco...
Craig Boutilier
IAT
2003
IEEE
13 years 10 months ago
Designing Flexible Negotiation Agent with Relaxed Decision Rules
This article presents a model for designing negotiation agent with two distinguishing features: 1) a marketdriven strategy and 2) a set of relaxed decision rules. Market-driven ag...
Kwang Mong Sim, Shi Yu Wang
ICCSA
2010
Springer
13 years 3 months ago
Emergent Stock Market Behaviour from a Multitude of Simple Agents
In our work the focus is on emergent behaviour in large groups of stock market participants. We do not assume that market participants take rational investment decisions based on f...
Volker Nissen, Danilo Saft