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» EM-algorithm for training of state-space models with applica...
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ESANN
2006
13 years 6 months ago
EM-algorithm for training of state-space models with application to time series prediction
In this paper, an improvement to the E step of the EM algorithm for nonlinear state-space models is presented. We also propose strategies for model structure selection when the EM-...
Elia Liitiäinen, Nima Reyhani, Amaury Lendass...
ICMLA
2008
13 years 6 months ago
A Bayesian Approach to Switching Linear Gaussian State-Space Models for Unsupervised Time-Series Segmentation
Time-series segmentation in the fully unsupervised scenario in which the number of segment-types is a priori unknown is a fundamental problem in many applications. We propose a Ba...
Silvia Chiappa
ICANN
2009
Springer
13 years 9 months ago
An EM Based Training Algorithm for Recurrent Neural Networks
Recurrent neural networks serve as black-box models for nonlinear dynamical systems identification and time series prediction. Training of recurrent networks typically minimizes t...
Jan Unkelbach, Yi Sun, Jürgen Schmidhuber
DMIN
2006
122views Data Mining» more  DMIN 2006»
13 years 6 months ago
Cost-Sensitive Analysis in Multiple Time Series Prediction
- In this paper we propose a new methodology for Cost-Benefit analysis in a multiple time series prediction problem. The proposed model is evaluated in a real world application bas...
Chamila Walgampaya, Mehmed M. Kantardzic
KDD
2008
ACM
159views Data Mining» more  KDD 2008»
14 years 5 months ago
Semi-supervised learning with data calibration for long-term time series forecasting
Many time series prediction methods have focused on single step or short term prediction problems due to the inherent difficulty in controlling the propagation of errors from one ...
Haibin Cheng, Pang-Ning Tan