3 search results - page 1 / 1 » Eliciting Forecasts from Self-interested Experts: Scoring Ru... |
CORR
2011
Springer
12 years 8 months ago
2011
Springer
Scoring rules for eliciting expert predictions of random variables are usually developed assuming that experts derive utility only from the quality of their predictions (e.g., sco...
MANSCI
2007
13 years 4 months ago
2007
Probability forecasters who are rewarded via a proper scoring rule may care not only about the score, but also about their performance relative to other forecasters. We model this...
ATAL
2010
Springer
13 years 5 months ago
2010
Springer
We explore settings where a principal must make a decision about which action to take to achieve a desired outcome. The principal elicits the probability of achieving the outcome ...