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CSDA
2008
98views more  CSDA 2008»
13 years 5 months ago
Forecasting binary longitudinal data by a functional PC-ARIMA model
The purpose of this paper is to forecast the time evolution of a binary response variable from an associated continuous time series observed only at discrete time points that usual...
Ana M. Aguilera, Manuel Escabias, Mariano J. Valde...
SIGECOM
2009
ACM
118views ECommerce» more  SIGECOM 2009»
13 years 12 months ago
Modeling volatility in prediction markets
There is significant experimental evidence that prediction markets are efficient mechanisms for aggregating information and are more accurate in forecasting events than tradition...
Nikolay Archak, Panagiotis G. Ipeirotis