Motivated by a broad range of potential applications, we address the quantile prediction problem of real-valued time series. We present a sequential quantile forecasting model bas...
Many regression schemes deliver a point estimate only, but often it is useful or even essential to quantify the uncertainty inherent in a prediction. If a conditional density estim...
We propose a class of alternative stochastic volatility models for electricity prices using the quantile function modeling approach. Specifically, we fit marginal distributions ...
Given a sample of n observations y1, . . . , yn at time points t1, . . . , tn we consider the problem of specifying a function ˜f such that ˜f • is smooth, • fits the data ...
We propose Dirichlet Process mixtures of Generalized Linear Models (DP-GLMs), a new method of nonparametric regression that accommodates continuous and categorical inputs, models ...