Prediction of time series is an important problem in many areas of science and engineering. Extending the horizon of predictions further to the future is the challenging and diffic...
Many time series prediction methods have focused on single step or short term prediction problems due to the inherent difficulty in controlling the propagation of errors from one ...
The paper describes a method for predicting climate time series that consist of significant annual and diurnal seasonal components and a short-term stockastic component. A memory...
In this paper, an improvement to the E step of the EM algorithm for nonlinear state-space models is presented. We also propose strategies for model structure selection when the EM-...
We consider the question of predicting nonlinear time series. Kernel Dynamical Modeling (KDM), a new method based on kernels, is proposed as an extension to linear dynamical model...