The naive Bayesian classifier provides a simple and effective approach to classifier learning, but its attribute independence assumption is often violated in the real world. A numb...
A novel method for estimating prediction uncertainty using machine learning techniques is presented. Uncertainty is expressed in the form of the two quantiles (constituting the pr...
The Relevance Vector Machine (RVM) is a sparse approximate Bayesian kernel method. It provides full predictive distributions for test cases. However, the predictive uncertainties ...
TD-Gammon is a neural network that is able to teach itself to play backgammon solely by playing against itself and learning from the results. Starting from random initial play, TD...
When correct priors are known, Bayesian algorithms give optimal decisions, and accurate confidence values for predictions can be obtained. If the prior is incorrect however, these...
Thomas Melluish, Craig Saunders, Ilia Nouretdinov,...