43 search results - page 2 / 9 » Self-calibrating Probability Forecasting |
ECAI
2006
Springer
13 years 7 months ago
2006
Springer
Abstract. In this paper, we show that the optimization of density forecasting models for regression in machine learning can be formulated as a multi-objective problem. We describe ...
SBP
2010
Springer
13 years 12 months ago
2010
Springer
Abstract. A body of psychological research has examined the correspondence between a judge’s subjective probability of an event’s outcome and the event’s actual outcome. The ...
CORR
2006
Springer
13 years 5 months ago
2006
Springer
- In this paper, computational aspects of the panel aggregation problem are addressed. Motivated primarily by applications of risk assessment, an algorithm is developed for aggrega...
WSC
2007
13 years 7 months ago
2007
ALT
2007
Springer
14 years 2 months ago
2007
Springer
It has been recently shown that calibration with an error less than ∆ > 0 is almost surely guaranteed with a randomized forecasting algorithm, where forecasts are obtained by...