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» Simulation of rare events in transportation systems
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WSC
2001
13 years 6 months ago
Modeling risk in the dynamic environment of maritime transportation
The Washington State Ferries are one of the largest ferry systems in the world. Accidents involving Washington State Ferries are rare events. However, low probability, high conseq...
Jason R. W. Merrick, J. René van Dorp, Thom...
WSC
2007
13 years 7 months ago
Estimating the probability of a rare event over a finite time horizon
We study an approximation for the zero-variance change of measure to estimate the probability of a rare event in a continuous-time Markov chain. The rare event occurs when the cha...
Pieter-Tjerk de Boer, Pierre L'Ecuyer, Gerardo Rub...
CORR
2010
Springer
97views Education» more  CORR 2010»
13 years 5 months ago
Analysis of a Splitting Estimator for Rare Event Probabilities in Jackson Networks
We consider a standard splitting algorithm for the rare-event simulation of overflow probabilities in any subset of stations in a Jackson network at level n, starting at a fixed i...
Jose Blanchet, Kevin Leder, Yixi Shi
WSC
1998
13 years 6 months ago
Discrete Event Simulation Experiments and Geographic Information Systems in Congestion Management Planning
A regional transportation system and the movement of large traffic volumes through it, are characteristic of stochastic systems. The standard traffic management or transportation ...
Roy Brooks Wiley, Thomas K. Keyser
WSC
2008
13 years 7 months ago
A simulation framework for assessing the performance of cooperative transportation planning algorithms
In this paper, we suggest a framework that allows for the simulation-based performance assessment of algorithms for cooperative transportation planning. Therefore, we consider a c...
Ralf Sprenger, Lars Mönch