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» Zero-intelligence agents in prediction markets
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ATAL
2010
Springer
13 years 5 months ago
When do markets with simple agents fail?
We consider (prediction) markets where myopic agents sequentially interact with an automated market maker. We show a broad negative result: by varying the order of participation, ...
Abraham Othman, Tuomas Sandholm
ATAL
2008
Springer
13 years 6 months ago
Zero-intelligence agents in prediction markets
We construct a novel agent-based model of prediction markets in which putative human qualities like learning, reasoning, and profit-seeking are absent. We show that the prices whi...
Abraham Othman
ECAI
2004
Springer
13 years 10 months ago
A Risk-Based Bidding Strategy for Continuous Double Auctions
We develop a novel bidding strategy that software agents can use to buy and sell goods in Continuous Double Auctions (CDAs). Our strategy involves the agent forming a bid or ask by...
Perukrishnen Vytelingum, Rajdeep K. Dash, Esther D...
MATES
2010
Springer
13 years 2 months ago
Price Prediction in Sports Betting Markets
Juan M. Alberola, Ana García-Fornes, Agust&...
JSAI
2001
Springer
13 years 9 months ago
Complexity of Agents and Complexity of Markets
In this study we rethought efficient market hypothesis from a viewpoint of complexity of market participants’ prediction methods and market price’s dynamics, and examined the ...
Kiyoshi Izumi