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SIGECOM
2010
ACM
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13 years 9 months ago
A new understanding of prediction markets via no-regret learning
We explore the striking mathematical connections that exist between market scoring rules, cost function based prediction markets, and no-regret learning. We first show that any c...
Yiling Chen, Jennifer Wortman Vaughan
ATAL
2009
Springer
13 years 11 months ago
Combinatorial prediction markets for event hierarchies
We study combinatorial prediction markets where agents bet on the sum of values at any tree node in a hierarchy of events, for example the sum of page views among all the children...
Mingyu Guo, David M. Pennock