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UAI
2001
13 years 6 months ago
A Calculus for Causal Relevance
We present a sound and complete calculus for causal relevance that uses Pearl's functional causal models as semantics. The calculus consists of axioms and rules of inference ...
Blai Bonet
UAI
2001
13 years 6 months ago
Pre-processing for Triangulation of Probabilistic Networks
Hans L. Bodlaender, Arie M. C. A. Koster, Frank va...
UAI
2001
13 years 6 months ago
Markov Chain Monte Carlo using Tree-Based Priors on Model Structure
We present a general framework for defining priors on model structure and sampling from the posterior using the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. The key ideas are that structure pri...
Nicos Angelopoulos, James Cussens
UAI
2001
13 years 6 months ago
Bayesian Error-Bars for Belief Net Inference
Tim Van Allen, Russell Greiner, Peter Hooper
UAI
2001
13 years 6 months ago
UCP-Networks: A Directed Graphical Representation of Conditional Utilities
We propose a directed graphical representation of utility functions, called UCP-networks, that combines aspects of two existing preference models: generalized additive models and ...
Craig Boutilier, Fahiem Bacchus, Ronen I. Brafman
UAI
2008
13 years 6 months ago
Observation Subset Selection as Local Compilation of Performance Profiles
Deciding what to sense is a crucial task, made harder by dependencies and by a nonadditive utility function. We develop approximation algorithms for selecting an optimal set of me...
Yan Radovilsky, Solomon Eyal Shimony
UAI
2008
13 years 6 months ago
Improving the Accuracy and Efficiency of MAP Inference for Markov Logic
In this work we present Cutting Plane Inference (CPI), a Maximum A Posteriori (MAP) inference method for Statistical Relational Learning. Framed in terms of Markov Logic and inspi...
Sebastian Riedel
UAI
2008
13 years 6 months ago
Efficient Inference in Persistent Dynamic Bayesian Networks
Numerous temporal inference tasks such as fault monitoring and anomaly detection exhibit a persistence property: for example, if something breaks, it stays broken until an interve...
Tomás Singliar, Denver Dash
UAI
2008
13 years 6 months ago
Modelling local and global phenomena with sparse Gaussian processes
Much recent work has concerned sparse approximations to speed up the Gaussian process regression from the unfavorable O(n3 ) scaling in computational time to O(nm2 ). Thus far, wo...
Jarno Vanhatalo, Aki Vehtari
UAI
2008
13 years 6 months ago
Sampling First Order Logical Particles
Approximate inference in dynamic systems is the problem of estimating the state of the system given a sequence of actions and partial observations. High precision estimation is fu...
Hannaneh Hajishirzi, Eyal Amir