Citing recent successes in forecasting elections, movies, products, and other outcomes, prediction market advocates call for widespread use of market-based methods for government ...
Sharad Goel, Daniel M. Reeves, Duncan J. Watts, Da...
For difficult prediction problems, practitioners often segment the data into relatively homogenous groups and then build a model for each group. This two-step procedure usually res...
ic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1629493 Marketing Science Institute Working Paper Series 2010 Report No. 10-102 Demystifying Disruption: A New Model for Understandin...
We consider (prediction) markets where myopic agents sequentially interact with an automated market maker. We show a broad negative result: by varying the order of participation, ...
Abstract. Continuity of the mapping from initial endowments and utilities to equilibria is an essential property for a desirable model of an economy – without continuity, small e...