133 search results - page 9 / 27 » Decision making under uncertainty using imprecise probabilit... |
COGSCI
2006
14 years 9 months ago
2006
We study human decision making in a simple forced-choice task that manipulates the frequency and accuracy of available information. Empirically, we find that people make decisions...
IPMU
2010
Springer
15 years 1 months ago
2010
Springer
Abstract. Credal sets are closed convex sets of probability mass functions. The lower probabilities specified by a credal set for each element of the power set can be used as cons...
IJCAI
2003
14 years 10 months ago
2003
To model combinatorial decision problems involving uncertainty and probability, we extend the stochastic constraint programming framework proposed in [Walsh, 2002] along a number ...
ATAL
2011
Springer
13 years 9 months ago
2011
Springer
Proper scoring rules, particularly when used as the basis for a prediction market, are powerful tools for eliciting and aggregating beliefs about events such as the likely outcome...
UAI
2003
14 years 10 months ago
2003
Currently, there is renewed interest in the problem, raised by Shafer in 1985, of updating probabilities when observations are incomplete (or setvalued). This is a fundamental pro...