133 search results - page 9 / 27 » Decision making under uncertainty using imprecise probabilit... |
127
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COGSCI
2006
15 years 1 months ago
2006
We study human decision making in a simple forced-choice task that manipulates the frequency and accuracy of available information. Empirically, we find that people make decisions...
108
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IPMU
2010
Springer
15 years 5 months ago
2010
Springer
Abstract. Credal sets are closed convex sets of probability mass functions. The lower probabilities specified by a credal set for each element of the power set can be used as cons...
105
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IJCAI
2003
15 years 3 months ago
2003
To model combinatorial decision problems involving uncertainty and probability, we extend the stochastic constraint programming framework proposed in [Walsh, 2002] along a number ...
120
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ATAL
2011
Springer
14 years 1 months ago
2011
Springer
Proper scoring rules, particularly when used as the basis for a prediction market, are powerful tools for eliciting and aggregating beliefs about events such as the likely outcome...
122
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UAI
2003
15 years 3 months ago
2003
Currently, there is renewed interest in the problem, raised by Shafer in 1985, of updating probabilities when observations are incomplete (or setvalued). This is a fundamental pro...