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» Forecasting time series with multiple seasonal patterns
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EOR
2008
71views more  EOR 2008»
13 years 6 months ago
Forecasting time series with multiple seasonal patterns
Phillip G. Gould, Anne B. Koehler, J. Keith Ord, R...
CSDA
2006
191views more  CSDA 2006»
13 years 6 months ago
Forecasting daily time series using periodic unobserved components time series models
We explore a periodic analysis in the context of unobserved components time series models that decompose time series into components of interest such as trend, seasonal and irregu...
Siem Jan Koopman, Marius Ooms
FSS
2002
103views more  FSS 2002»
13 years 6 months ago
A fuzzy seasonal ARIMA model for forecasting
This paper proposes a fuzzy seasonal ARIMA (FSARIMA) forecasting model, which combines the advantages of the seasonal time series ARIMA (SARIMA) model and the fuzzy regression mod...
Fang-Mei Tseng, Gwo-Hshiung Tzeng
MLDM
2009
Springer
14 years 27 days ago
Memory-Based Modeling of Seasonality for Prediction of Climatic Time Series
The paper describes a method for predicting climate time series that consist of significant annual and diurnal seasonal components and a short-term stockastic component. A memory...
Daniel Nikovski, Ganesan Ramachandran
AAAI
2008
13 years 8 months ago
Ensemble Forecasting for Disease Outbreak Detection
We describe a method to improve detection of disease outbreaks in pre-diagnostic time series data. The method uses multiple forecasters and learns the linear combination to minimi...
Thomas H. Lotze, Galit Shmueli