Previous research suggests that a decline in transactions costs leads to improved economic efficiency. In this paper,weshowthatsuchadeclinewillintroduceincreasinglyuninformedconsu...
Citing recent successes in forecasting elections, movies, products, and other outcomes, prediction market advocates call for widespread use of market-based methods for government ...
Sharad Goel, Daniel M. Reeves, Duncan J. Watts, Da...
Several marketing problems involve prediction of customer purchase behavior and forecasting future preferences. We consider predictive modeling of large scale, bi-modal or multimo...
We consider prediction-model evaluation in the context of marketing-campaign planning. In order to evaluate and compare models with specific campaign objectives in mind, we need t...
Saharon Rosset, Einat Neumann, Uri Eick, Nurit Vat...
Two independent evolutionary modeling methods, based on fuzzy logic and neural networks respectively, are applied to predicting trend reversals in financial time series, and their...