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» Modeling a Presidential Prediction Market
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CEC
2009
IEEE
15 years 4 months ago
Evolving hypernetwork models of binary time series for forecasting price movements on stock markets
— The paper proposes a hypernetwork-based method for stock market prediction through a binary time series problem. Hypernetworks are a random hypergraph structure of higher-order...
Elena Bautu, Sun Kim, Andrei Bautu, Henri Luchian,...
AAAI
2011
13 years 9 months ago
Composite Social Network for Predicting Mobile Apps Installation
We have carefully instrumented a large portion of the population living in a university graduate dormitory by giving participants Android smart phones running our sensing software...
Wei Pan, Nadav Aharony, Alex Pentland
SIGECOM
2008
ACM
90views ECommerce» more  SIGECOM 2008»
14 years 9 months ago
Non-myopic strategies in prediction markets
One attractive feature of market scoring rules [Hanson '03] is that they are myopically strategyproof: It is optimal for a trader to report her true belief about the likeliho...
Stanko Dimitrov, Rahul Sami
SIGECOM
2010
ACM
152views ECommerce» more  SIGECOM 2010»
15 years 2 months ago
Information aggregation in smooth markets
Recent years have seen extensive investigation of the information aggregation properties of prediction markets. However, relatively little is known about conditions under which a ...
Krishnamurthy Iyer, Ramesh Johari, Ciamac Cyrus Mo...
DAWAK
2006
Springer
15 years 1 months ago
Mining Direct Marketing Data by Ensembles of Weak Learners and Rough Set Methods
This paper describes problem of prediction that is based on direct marketing data coming from Nationwide Products and Services Questionnaire (NPSQ) prepared by Polish division of A...
Jerzy Blaszczynski, Krzysztof Dembczynski, Wojciec...