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» Nonparametric time series forecasting with dynamic updating
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NPL
2011
14 years 2 months ago
A Neural Network Scheme for Long-Term Forecasting of Chaotic Time Series
The accuracy of a model to forecast a time series diminishes as the prediction horizon increases, in particular when the prediction is carried out recursively. Such decay is faster...
Pilar Gómez-Gil, Juan Manuel Ramírez...
CDC
2008
IEEE
141views Control Systems» more  CDC 2008»
15 years 6 months ago
Generalized linear dynamic factor models - a structure theory
— In this paper we present a structure theory for generalized linear dynamic factor models (GDFM’s). Emphasis is laid on the so-called zeroless case. GDFM’s provide a way of ...
Brian D. O. Anderson, Manfred Deistler
TIT
2011
140views more  TIT 2011»
14 years 6 months ago
Sequential Quantile Prediction of Time Series
Motivated by a broad range of potential applications, we address the quantile prediction problem of real-valued time series. We present a sequential quantile forecasting model bas...
Gérard Biau, Benoît Patra
KDD
1998
ACM
190views Data Mining» more  KDD 1998»
15 years 3 months ago
Time Series Forecasting from High-Dimensional Data with Multiple Adaptive Layers
This paper describes our work in learning online models that forecast real-valued variables in a high-dimensional space. A 3GB database was collected by sampling 421 real-valued s...
R. Bharat Rao, Scott Rickard, Frans Coetzee
CORR
2010
Springer
183views Education» more  CORR 2010»
14 years 10 months ago
Discovering shared and individual latent structure in multiple time series
This paper proposes a nonparametric Bayesian method for exploratory data analysis and feature construction in continuous time series. Our method focuses on understanding shared fe...
Suchi Saria, Daphne Koller, Anna Penn