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» Probability, rational belief and belief change
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ITS
2000
Springer
94views Multimedia» more  ITS 2000»
13 years 10 months ago
DT Tutor: A Decision-Theoretic, Dynamic Approach for Optimal Selection of Tutorial Actions
DT Tutor uses a decision-theoretic approach to select tutorial actions for coached problem solving that are optimal given the tutor's beliefs and objectives. It employs a mode...
R. Charles Murray, Kurt VanLehn
UMUAI
1998
157views more  UMUAI 1998»
13 years 6 months ago
Bayesian Models for Keyhole Plan Recognition in an Adventure Game
We present an approach to keyhole plan recognition which uses a dynamic belief (Bayesian) network to represent features of the domain that are needed to identify users’ plans and...
David W. Albrecht, Ingrid Zukerman, Ann E. Nichols...
ISIPTA
2003
IEEE
127views Mathematics» more  ISIPTA 2003»
13 years 11 months ago
Climate Projections for the 21st Century Using Random Sets
We apply random set theory to an analysis of future climate change. Bounds on cumulative probability are used to quantify uncertainties in natural and socio-economic factors that ...
Elmar Kriegler, Hermann Held
IJON
2007
104views more  IJON 2007»
13 years 6 months ago
A probabilistic model of eye movements in concept formation
It has been unclear whether optimal experimental design accounts of data selection may offer insight into evidence acquisition tasks in which the learner’s beliefs change greatl...
Jonathan D. Nelson, Garrison W. Cottrell
CORR
2010
Springer
69views Education» more  CORR 2010»
13 years 6 months ago
Epistemic irrelevance in credal nets: the case of imprecise Markov trees
We focus on credal nets, which are graphical models that generalise Bayesian nets to imprecise probability. We replace the notion of strong independence commonly used in credal ne...
Gert de Cooman, Filip Hermans, Alessandro Antonucc...