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» Probability Theory on IF Events
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KR
2004
Springer
15 years 3 months ago
Evidence and Belief
We discuss the representation of knowledge and of belief from the viewpoint of decision theory. While the Bayesian approach enjoys general-purpose applicability and axiomatic foun...
Itzhak Gilboa, David Schmeidler
MANSCI
2007
85views more  MANSCI 2007»
14 years 9 months ago
Probability Elicitation, Scoring Rules, and Competition Among Forecasters
Probability forecasters who are rewarded via a proper scoring rule may care not only about the score, but also about their performance relative to other forecasters. We model this...
Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr., Robert L. Winkler
PODC
1989
ACM
15 years 1 months ago
Knowledge, Probability, and Adversaries
: What should it mean for an agent to know or believe an assertion is true with probability :99? Di erent papers FH88, FZ88, HMT88] give di erent answers, choosing to use quite di ...
Joseph Y. Halpern, Mark R. Tuttle
DCC
2006
IEEE
15 years 9 months ago
The B-coder: An Improved Binary Arithmetic Coder and Probability Estimator
In this paper we present the B-coder, an efficient binary arithmetic coder that performs extremely well on a wide range of data. The B-coder should be classed as an `approximate&#...
Benjamin Kelly, David F. Brailsford
KR
2004
Springer
15 years 3 months ago
Causation and Causal Conditionals
Causation is defined recursively: event e is the cause of condition φ in context c iff e is the only sufficient cause of φ in c, and removing e from c either removes φ from c...
John Bell