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» Zero-intelligence agents in prediction markets
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ATAL
2010
Springer
14 years 10 months ago
When do markets with simple agents fail?
We consider (prediction) markets where myopic agents sequentially interact with an automated market maker. We show a broad negative result: by varying the order of participation, ...
Abraham Othman, Tuomas Sandholm
ATAL
2008
Springer
14 years 11 months ago
Zero-intelligence agents in prediction markets
We construct a novel agent-based model of prediction markets in which putative human qualities like learning, reasoning, and profit-seeking are absent. We show that the prices whi...
Abraham Othman
ECAI
2004
Springer
15 years 2 months ago
A Risk-Based Bidding Strategy for Continuous Double Auctions
We develop a novel bidding strategy that software agents can use to buy and sell goods in Continuous Double Auctions (CDAs). Our strategy involves the agent forming a bid or ask by...
Perukrishnen Vytelingum, Rajdeep K. Dash, Esther D...
MATES
2010
Springer
14 years 7 months ago
Price Prediction in Sports Betting Markets
Juan M. Alberola, Ana García-Fornes, Agust&...
75
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JSAI
2001
Springer
15 years 1 months ago
Complexity of Agents and Complexity of Markets
In this study we rethought efficient market hypothesis from a viewpoint of complexity of market participants’ prediction methods and market price’s dynamics, and examined the ...
Kiyoshi Izumi