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ALDT
2009
Springer
158views Algorithms» more  ALDT 2009»
13 years 7 months ago
Axioms for a Class of Algorithms of Sequential Decision Making
Abstract. We axiomatically characterise a class of algorithms for making sequential decisions in situations of complete ignorance. These algorithms assume that a decision maker (DM...
Murali Agastya, Arkadii M. Slinko
NECO
2002
145views more  NECO 2002»
13 years 9 months ago
Bayesian Model Assessment and Comparison Using Cross-Validation Predictive Densities
In this work, we discuss practical methods for the assessment, comparison, and selection of complex hierarchical Bayesian models. A natural way to assess the goodness of the model...
Aki Vehtari, Jouko Lampinen
MANSCI
2007
88views more  MANSCI 2007»
13 years 9 months ago
Resolving Inconsistencies in Utility Measurement Under Risk: Tests of Generalizations of Expected Utility
This paper explores biases in the elicitation of utilities under risk and the contribution that generalizations of expected utility can make to the resolution of these biases. We ...
Han Bleichrodt, Jose Maria Abellan-Perpiñan...
AIPS
2000
13 years 11 months ago
A New Perspective on Algorithms for Optimizing Policies under Uncertainty
The paper takes a fresh look at algorithms for maximizing expected utility over a set of policies, that is, a set of possible ways of reacting to observations about an uncertain s...
Rina Dechter
JURIX
2007
13 years 11 months ago
Success chances in argument games: a probabilistic approach to legal disputes
The outcome of a legal dispute, namely, the decision of its adjudicator, is uncertain, and both parties develop their strategies on the basis of their appreciation of the probabili...
Régis Riveret, Antonino Rotolo, Giovanni Sa...
ATAL
2006
Springer
14 years 1 months ago
Sequences of take-it-or-leave-it offers: near-optimal auctions without full valuation revelation
Abstract. We introduce take-it-or-leave-it auctions (TLAs) as an allocation mechanism that allows buyers to retain much of their private valuation information, yet generates close-...
Tuomas Sandholm, Andrew Gilpin
ISIPTA
1999
IEEE
107views Mathematics» more  ISIPTA 1999»
14 years 2 months ago
Imprecise and Indeterminate Probabilities
Bayesian advocates of expected utility maximization use sets of probability distributions to represent very different ideas. Strict Bayesians insist that probability judgment is n...
Isaac Levi
CP
2003
Springer
14 years 3 months ago
Scheduling in the Face of Uncertain Resource Consumption and Utility
We discuss the problem of scheduling tasks that consume uncertain amounts of a resource with known capacity and where the tasks have uncertain utility. In these circumstances, we w...
Jeremy Frank, Richard Dearden
ACMICEC
2003
ACM
97views ECommerce» more  ACMICEC 2003»
14 years 3 months ago
Risk and user preferences in winner determination
We discuss a solution to the winner determination problem which takes into account not only costs but also risk aversion of the agent that accepts the bids. We are interested in b...
Güleser K. Demir, Maria L. Gini
ISIPTA
2003
IEEE
110views Mathematics» more  ISIPTA 2003»
14 years 3 months ago
Extensions of Expected Utility Theory and Some Limitations of Pairwise Comparisons
We contrast three decision rules that extend Expected Utility to contexts where a convex set of probabilities is used to depict uncertainty: Γ-Maximin, Maximality, and E-admissib...
Mark J. Schervish, Teddy Seidenfeld, Joseph B. Kad...